Real estate is heavily debt-financed and competes with bonds for yield-seeking investors. Rising rates hit both ways at once.
REITs fell 25%+ in 2022 as rates surged.
Business
Apartments, malls, warehouses, cell towers — owning the buildings other businesses operate inside.
At a glance
US commercial real estate
≈ $24T value
REIT industry size
≈ $1.3T mkt cap
REIT dividend requirement
Must pay out 90%+
Typical REIT yield
≈ 4-5%
Step 1
A real-estate company buys buildings, rents them out, and pockets the difference between rent income and operating costs. The bigger ones own thousands of properties — apartments, offices, shopping malls, warehouses, data centers, cell towers.
Most public real-estate companies are structured as REITs, which means they pay almost all their income as dividends. That makes them a popular income investment.
Own buildings. Collect rent.
Step 2
Raise money from investors. Buy properties. Sign leases with tenants. Pay operating costs (taxes, maintenance, utilities). Send what's left to shareholders as dividends.
Different REITs specialize. Equity Residential owns apartments. Simon Property owns malls. Prologis owns warehouses. American Tower owns cell towers. Each lives or dies on different forces.
Step 3
Rent. Sometimes ancillary fees (parking, storage, signage). For warehouses and data centers, fees for power and connectivity.
Costs are mostly property taxes, maintenance, leasing brokers, and interest on mortgages.
Tenants pay rent
REIT keeps the spread
Taxes + maintenance + debt
Step 4
Property is bought with massive amounts of debt. When interest rates rise, refinancing gets expensive and existing properties are worth less.
The dividend yield also competes with bond yields. When 10-year Treasuries pay 5%, a 4%-yielding REIT looks worse. Real estate stocks tend to fall when rates rise.
Roughly where the money goes
Step 5
Apartments and industrial warehouses tend to hold up best — people need places to live and goods need places to be stored.
Office is the most challenged post-COVID. Retail malls have been declining for a decade. Data centers and cell towers are growth stories tied to digital infrastructure.
Some thriving, some shrinking
Step 6
Interest rates — the dominant force. Vacancy spikes in a recession (especially for offices). Local property taxes can rise unexpectedly. And one-off shocks like COVID can transform a whole subsector overnight.
Leverage is also high — even healthy REITs may carry 40-60% debt-to-value, which amplifies both gains and losses.
Different conditions
Most industries behave very differently depending on the economy. Here's how this one has historically responded to common macro situations.
Real estate is heavily debt-financed and competes with bonds for yield-seeking investors. Rising rates hit both ways at once.
REITs fell 25%+ in 2022 as rates surged.
Cheap mortgages boost property values. Dividend yields look attractive vs. low Treasury rates.
REITs returned 30%+ in 2019 as the Fed cut rates.
Office and retail get hit hardest as tenants default or downsize. Apartments and industrial hold up better.
Many leases include inflation-linked rent increases. Property values often rise with overall price levels.
Two ways to gain exposure
People who want exposure to real estate usually either own a single ETF that bundles many companies together, or own a few individual stocks. They just spread the decision differently — neither approach is described here as better than the other.
Thematic ETFs
New to ETFs? See how they work.
See live performance
How reits & real estate are doing today, on the Themes page.
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